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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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1 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$9.5K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$3.5K

1m vol.

$7.8K

Liquidity

$14.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$673
0¢$2,482
0¢$50,280
0¢$100,071
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$160
1¢$2,143
1¢$100
1¢$100
1¢$135
1¢$24
1¢$6
3¢$30
44¢$635
44¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢21
1 mo. agoBuy1¢21
1 mo. agoBuy100¢45
1 mo. agoBuy1¢45
1 mo. agoBuy100¢86
1 mo. agoBuy1¢86
1 mo. agoBuy100¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy100¢86
1 mo. agoBuy1¢86
1 mo. agoBuy100¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy100¢31
1 mo. agoBuy1¢31
1 mo. agoBuy100¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy100¢77
1 mo. agoBuy1¢77
1 mo. agoBuy100¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy100¢104
1 mo. agoBuy1¢104
1 mo. agoBuy100¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy100¢70
1 mo. agoBuy1¢70
1 mo. agoBuy100¢96
1 mo. agoBuy1¢96
1 mo. agoBuy100¢12
1 mo. agoBuy1¢12
1 mo. agoBuy100¢7
1 mo. agoBuy1¢7
1 mo. agoBuy100¢8
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy99¢13
1 mo. agoBuy1¢13
1 mo. agoBuy99¢19
1 mo. agoBuy1¢19
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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