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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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47 %

chance

▼ −1.5%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 47¢No 53¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$166.3K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$16.2K

1m vol.

$39.3K

Liquidity

$18.2K

Bid / Ask

46¢ / 48¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

48¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
49¢$100
48¢$300
47¢$416
46¢$668
45¢$1,428
44¢$387
43¢$489
24¢$411
22¢$385
19¢$750
Asks (sell)Size
51¢$485
52¢$4,470
53¢$1,005
54¢$2,159
55¢$6,510
56¢$6,980
57¢$1,723
58¢$658
59¢$234
60¢$273

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell48¢900
1 mo. agoBuy48¢740
1 mo. agoBuy48¢50
1 mo. agoSell51¢80
1 mo. agoSell51¢10
1 mo. agoSell51¢20
1 mo. agoBuy52¢144
1 mo. agoSell52¢144
1 mo. agoSell47¢2
1 mo. agoSell53¢2
1 mo. agoBuy51¢100
1 mo. agoBuy49¢100
1 mo. agoBuy52¢216
1 mo. agoBuy48¢71
1 mo. agoBuy48¢8
1 mo. agoSell52¢40
1 mo. agoBuy49¢10
1 mo. agoBuy49¢41
1 mo. agoSell51¢10
1 mo. agoBuy49¢35
1 mo. agoBuy51¢5
1 mo. agoBuy49¢5
1 mo. agoBuy51¢77
1 mo. agoSell51¢77
1 mo. agoBuy51¢10
1 mo. agoSell51¢3
1 mo. agoSell51¢7
1 mo. agoSell49¢34
1 mo. agoBuy49¢34
1 mo. agoSell49¢25
1 mo. agoBuy49¢25
1 mo. agoSell49¢15
1 mo. agoBuy49¢5
1 mo. agoSell51¢10
1 mo. agoBuy50¢1,060
1 mo. agoBuy50¢68
1 mo. agoBuy50¢689
1 mo. agoSell50¢27
1 mo. agoSell50¢21
1 mo. agoBuy51¢40
1 mo. agoBuy51¢40
1 mo. agoSell49¢40
1 mo. agoBuy51¢5
1 mo. agoSell49¢129
1 mo. agoBuy49¢11
1 mo. agoSell49¢11
1 mo. agoBuy49¢22
1 mo. agoSell49¢22
1 mo. agoBuy49¢40
1 mo. agoBuy51¢40

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