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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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82 %

chance

▲ +0.3%24h▲ +5.1%1W
Yes 82¢No 19¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$4.6K

24h vol.

$70

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$2.7K

Liquidity

$11.8K

Bid / Ask

81¢ / 82¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

81¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
90¢$75
90¢$230
89¢$20
89¢$20
89¢$20
89¢$131
89¢$101
89¢$48
89¢$105
89¢$89
Asks (sell)Size
90¢$523
90¢$340
90¢$219
90¢$41
90¢$20
90¢$260
91¢$291
93¢$475
100¢$98
100¢$265

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢196
1 mo. agoBuy90¢101
1 mo. agoSell10¢35
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢40
2 mo. agoBuy90¢7
2 mo. agoBuy10¢7
2 mo. agoSell88¢1
2 mo. agoSell12¢1
2 mo. agoSell86¢20
2 mo. agoSell16¢10
2 mo. agoSell13¢10
2 mo. agoSell87¢20
2 mo. agoSell13¢10
2 mo. agoSell13¢10
2 mo. agoBuy90¢1
2 mo. agoBuy10¢1
2 mo. agoSell85¢5
2 mo. agoSell15¢5
2 mo. agoSell13¢73
2 mo. agoBuy13¢35
2 mo. agoBuy13¢38
2 mo. agoSell11¢40
2 mo. agoSell89¢40
2 mo. agoSell14¢5
2 mo. agoBuy14¢5
2 mo. agoSell14¢5
2 mo. agoBuy14¢5
2 mo. agoSell15¢5
2 mo. agoBuy15¢5
2 mo. agoSell13¢50
2 mo. agoBuy13¢30
2 mo. agoBuy13¢20
2 mo. agoSell13¢38
2 mo. agoBuy13¢38
2 mo. agoSell13¢38
2 mo. agoBuy13¢38
2 mo. agoSell80¢40
2 mo. agoBuy80¢5
2 mo. agoSell20¢20
2 mo. agoSell20¢15
2 mo. agoSell13¢40
2 mo. agoBuy13¢20
2 mo. agoBuy14¢20
2 mo. agoSell15¢20
2 mo. agoBuy15¢20
2 mo. agoSell14¢40
2 mo. agoSell86¢20

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