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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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17 %

chance

▲ +1.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 17¢No 83¢

Total volume

$4.2K

24h vol.

$134.9

1w vol.

$184.9

1m vol.

$1.6K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 18¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

17¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$179
16¢$168
15¢$346
10¢$21
9¢$180
8¢$300
7¢$134
6¢$1,055
5¢$70
4¢$247
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$60
20¢$148
21¢$20
22¢$217
23¢$345
24¢$105
26¢$29
61¢$80
62¢$50
64¢$40

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 79%Sells 21%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy80¢105
1 mo. agoBuy20¢25
1 mo. agoSell80¢80
1 mo. agoBuy78¢27
1 mo. agoSell78¢27
1 mo. agoBuy77¢145
1 mo. agoBuy23¢125
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy76¢21
1 mo. agoBuy24¢21
1 mo. agoBuy75¢316
1 mo. agoBuy25¢40
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢236
1 mo. agoSell25¢9
1 mo. agoBuy25¢9
1 mo. agoSell25¢9
1 mo. agoBuy25¢9
1 mo. agoSell74¢31
1 mo. agoSell26¢31
1 mo. agoBuy75¢27
1 mo. agoBuy25¢27
2 mo. agoBuy25¢20
2 mo. agoSell25¢20
2 mo. agoSell75¢30
2 mo. agoSell25¢30
2 mo. agoBuy76¢20
2 mo. agoSell76¢20
2 mo. agoBuy17¢61
2 mo. agoBuy82¢20
2 mo. agoBuy83¢30
2 mo. agoSell17¢5
2 mo. agoSell16¢5
2 mo. agoBuy77¢11
2 mo. agoSell77¢11
2 mo. agoBuy74¢50
2 mo. agoBuy26¢20
2 mo. agoBuy26¢30
2 mo. agoSell26¢20
2 mo. agoBuy26¢20
2 mo. agoBuy73¢70
2 mo. agoBuy27¢20
2 mo. agoSell73¢50
2 mo. agoSell70¢20
2 mo. agoSell30¢15
2 mo. agoBuy70¢5
2 mo. agoBuy72¢20
2 mo. agoSell72¢5
2 mo. agoSell72¢5

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.