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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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83 %

chance

▲ +2.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 83¢No 18¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$6K

24h vol.

$10.17

1w vol.

$749.673

1m vol.

$3.7K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

82¢ / 83¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

82¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
57¢$48
56¢$12
55¢$20
45¢$40
42¢$55
41¢$402
38¢$50
12¢$30
11¢$164
10¢$662
Asks (sell)Size
64¢$20
70¢$27
71¢$110
72¢$27
74¢$80
75¢$91
77¢$50
78¢$108
79¢$457
80¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell35¢5
1 mo. agoBuy35¢5
1 mo. agoSell35¢15
1 mo. agoBuy35¢15
1 mo. agoSell30¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoBuy38¢21
1 mo. agoBuy62¢21
1 mo. agoBuy53¢116
1 mo. agoBuy46¢20
1 mo. agoBuy47¢20
1 mo. agoSell53¢24
1 mo. agoSell53¢40
1 mo. agoSell53¢7
1 mo. agoSell53¢5
1 mo. agoBuy58¢20
1 mo. agoSell58¢20
1 mo. agoBuy39¢41
1 mo. agoBuy61¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢21
1 mo. agoBuy37¢51
1 mo. agoBuy63¢51
1 mo. agoBuy32¢60
1 mo. agoSell32¢60
1 mo. agoBuy69¢15
1 mo. agoSell69¢15
1 mo. agoSell29¢10
1 mo. agoSell71¢10
1 mo. agoBuy21¢125
1 mo. agoSell22¢22
1 mo. agoSell21¢63
1 mo. agoSell20¢40
1 mo. agoBuy18¢224
1 mo. agoBuy82¢82
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢36
1 mo. agoSell17¢25
1 mo. agoSell17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢30
1 mo. agoSell85¢30
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoSell85¢10
1 mo. agoSell84¢20
1 mo. agoSell16¢9
1 mo. agoBuy84¢11
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20

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