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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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55 %

chance

▼ −1.5%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +3.0%1W
Yes 55¢No 45¢

Total volume

$5.1K

24h vol.

$5.345

1w vol.

$692.3

1m vol.

$3.8K

Liquidity

$21.2K

Bid / Ask

51¢ / 58¢

Spread 7¢

Last trade

52¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
59¢$18
58¢$500
57¢$290
55¢$138
13¢$50
12¢$92
11¢$154
10¢$662
9¢$870
8¢$1,002
Asks (sell)Size
61¢$80
63¢$20
67¢$20
68¢$36
74¢$20
90¢$21
92¢$7
93¢$28
94¢$18
95¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell57¢10
1 mo. agoBuy57¢10
1 mo. agoBuy72¢2
1 mo. agoSell72¢2
1 mo. agoBuy37¢570
1 mo. agoBuy63¢500
1 mo. agoBuy63¢20
1 mo. agoSell35¢30
1 mo. agoBuy67¢20
1 mo. agoBuy31¢230
1 mo. agoBuy69¢20
1 mo. agoBuy69¢200
1 mo. agoSell30¢10
1 mo. agoSell28¢8
1 mo. agoSell72¢8
1 mo. agoSell70¢40
1 mo. agoSell30¢40
1 mo. agoBuy27¢240
1 mo. agoBuy73¢40
1 mo. agoBuy73¢40
1 mo. agoBuy73¢100
1 mo. agoSell27¢20
1 mo. agoBuy73¢20
1 mo. agoBuy73¢20
1 mo. agoBuy28¢20
1 mo. agoBuy72¢20
1 mo. agoBuy71¢20
1 mo. agoBuy29¢20
1 mo. agoBuy66¢118
1 mo. agoSell66¢8
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoBuy34¢30
1 mo. agoSell65¢20
1 mo. agoSell65¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢8
1 mo. agoBuy70¢8
1 mo. agoBuy30¢50
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoSell30¢20
1 mo. agoSell30¢10
1 mo. agoBuy27¢20
1 mo. agoBuy73¢20
1 mo. agoBuy27¢11
1 mo. agoBuy73¢11
2 mo. agoBuy88¢1
2 mo. agoBuy12¢1
2 mo. agoBuy75¢213
2 mo. agoSell75¢193
2 mo. agoSell73¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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