Skip to content

← Dashboard · Culture

Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

14 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 14¢No 86¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$40

1w vol.

$124.5

1m vol.

$124.5

Liquidity

$13.2K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 15¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$120
12¢$90
11¢$86
10¢$168
9¢$20
8¢$20
5¢$10
4¢$38
3¢$243
2¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$83
15¢$73
62¢$9
63¢$308
64¢$643
65¢$2,857
69¢$900
70¢$4,000
73¢$1,038
74¢$4,615

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy14¢85
2 wk. agoSell14¢49
2 wk. agoSell14¢36
2 mo. agoBuy9¢32
2 mo. agoSell9¢32
2 mo. agoSell18¢20
2 mo. agoBuy18¢20
2 mo. agoBuy81¢58
2 mo. agoBuy19¢20
2 mo. agoSell81¢38
2 mo. agoSell20¢199
2 mo. agoBuy20¢69
2 mo. agoSell80¢40
2 mo. agoBuy20¢90
2 mo. agoSell21¢1
2 mo. agoBuy21¢1
2 mo. agoSell77¢120
2 mo. agoBuy77¢120
2 mo. agoBuy75¢57
2 mo. agoBuy25¢20
2 mo. agoSell75¢37
2 mo. agoSell70¢40
2 mo. agoBuy70¢40
2 mo. agoSell70¢120
2 mo. agoBuy70¢120
2 mo. agoSell70¢60
2 mo. agoBuy70¢60
2 mo. agoSell70¢20
2 mo. agoBuy70¢20
2 mo. agoSell70¢40
2 mo. agoBuy70¢40
2 mo. agoBuy64¢22
2 mo. agoBuy36¢22
2 mo. agoBuy11¢80
2 mo. agoBuy85¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢40
2 mo. agoBuy9¢140
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢60
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢40
2 mo. agoBuy9¢414
2 mo. agoBuy90¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢40
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢40
2 mo. agoBuy91¢60

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.