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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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45 %

chance

▼ −2.0%1h▲ +2.0%24h▲ +4.0%1W
Yes 45¢No 55¢

Total volume

$2.8K

24h vol.

$215.68

1w vol.

$301.05

1m vol.

$698.32

Liquidity

$21.8K

Bid / Ask

43¢ / 46¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

43¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 11¢
Bids (buy)Size
27¢$13
26¢$18
21¢$24
20¢$85
19¢$117
18¢$112
17¢$100
16¢$5
15¢$5
14¢$286
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$54
39¢$21
41¢$52
43¢$27
46¢$52
47¢$60
48¢$48
50¢$30
51¢$95
53¢$32

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 74%Sells 26%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy63¢37
4 wk. agoSell63¢37
1 mo. agoSell37¢3
1 mo. agoSell63¢3
1 mo. agoSell63¢20
1 mo. agoBuy63¢20
1 mo. agoBuy35¢57
1 mo. agoBuy65¢17
1 mo. agoBuy65¢40
1 mo. agoBuy28¢34
1 mo. agoBuy72¢14
1 mo. agoBuy72¢20
1 mo. agoBuy33¢16
1 mo. agoSell33¢16
1 mo. agoBuy68¢11
1 mo. agoBuy32¢11
1 mo. agoBuy31¢20
1 mo. agoSell31¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy75¢20
1 mo. agoSell32¢21
1 mo. agoBuy32¢21
1 mo. agoBuy69¢5
1 mo. agoBuy31¢5
1 mo. agoBuy33¢91
1 mo. agoSell34¢15
1 mo. agoSell33¢20
1 mo. agoBuy67¢56
1 mo. agoBuy25¢39
1 mo. agoSell25¢39
1 mo. agoBuy71¢104
1 mo. agoBuy29¢40
1 mo. agoBuy29¢20
1 mo. agoSell71¢44
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoSell27¢15
1 mo. agoBuy27¢15
2 mo. agoBuy38¢5
2 mo. agoBuy62¢5
2 mo. agoSell38¢12
2 mo. agoBuy38¢12
2 mo. agoSell40¢2
2 mo. agoBuy40¢2
2 mo. agoSell40¢20
2 mo. agoBuy40¢20
2 mo. agoBuy60¢5
2 mo. agoBuy40¢5
2 mo. agoSell41¢13
2 mo. agoBuy41¢13

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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