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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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19 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 19¢No 81¢

Total volume

$1.1K

24h vol.

$114.49

1w vol.

$292.108

1m vol.

$292.108

Liquidity

$8.5K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 20¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$71
16¢$232
15¢$20
14¢$20
10¢$21
4¢$16
3¢$67
2¢$7
1¢$509
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$146
19¢$72
20¢$130
21¢$20
64¢$5
65¢$261
67¢$1,939
71¢$2,759
75¢$3,200
79¢$4,190

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell18¢20
4 wk. agoBuy18¢8
4 wk. agoBuy18¢12
4 wk. agoBuy82¢20
4 wk. agoBuy18¢20
4 wk. agoSell18¢138
4 wk. agoBuy18¢18
4 wk. agoBuy18¢20
4 wk. agoBuy18¢100
2 mo. agoSell80¢110
2 mo. agoSell20¢50
2 mo. agoSell20¢20
2 mo. agoBuy81¢40
2 mo. agoBuy16¢60
2 mo. agoBuy84¢40
2 mo. agoBuy85¢20
3 mo. agoBuy12¢20
3 mo. agoBuy88¢20
3 mo. agoBuy80¢70
3 mo. agoSell81¢20
3 mo. agoSell80¢20
3 mo. agoSell80¢30
3 mo. agoSell78¢20
3 mo. agoSell22¢20
3 mo. agoSell78¢40
3 mo. agoSell22¢40
3 mo. agoSell74¢20
3 mo. agoBuy74¢20
3 mo. agoSell72¢18
3 mo. agoBuy72¢18
3 mo. agoSell80¢20
3 mo. agoBuy80¢20
3 mo. agoSell81¢12
3 mo. agoBuy81¢12
3 mo. agoSell81¢20
3 mo. agoBuy81¢9
3 mo. agoSell19¢11
3 mo. agoBuy68¢45
3 mo. agoSell68¢34
3 mo. agoBuy33¢11
3 mo. agoSell89¢20
3 mo. agoBuy89¢20
3 mo. agoBuy8¢335
3 mo. agoBuy92¢114
3 mo. agoBuy92¢20
3 mo. agoBuy92¢20
3 mo. agoBuy92¢20
3 mo. agoBuy92¢20
3 mo. agoBuy92¢20
3 mo. agoBuy92¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.