Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 4 days ago

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

32 %

chance

▼ −3.0%24h▲ +13.0%1W
Yes 32¢No 69¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$2.4K

24h vol.

$26.11

1w vol.

$340.99

1m vol.

$340.99

Liquidity

$20.2K

Bid / Ask

28¢ / 35¢

Spread 7¢

Last trade

29¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$257
17¢$120
16¢$273
5¢$5
4¢$15
3¢$167
2¢$307
1¢$1,007
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$89
20¢$70
22¢$40
23¢$20
82¢$36
83¢$306
84¢$12,500
88¢$20,833
91¢$6
92¢$31,250

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 36%Sells 64%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy82¢12
5 days agoSell82¢12
2 mo. agoBuy18¢40
2 mo. agoSell18¢3
2 mo. agoSell18¢37
2 mo. agoSell24¢175
2 mo. agoSell76¢155
2 mo. agoBuy24¢20
2 mo. agoSell74¢20
2 mo. agoSell26¢20
2 mo. agoBuy25¢20
2 mo. agoBuy75¢20
2 mo. agoSell73¢40
2 mo. agoSell27¢8
2 mo. agoSell27¢32
2 mo. agoSell26¢6
2 mo. agoBuy25¢4
2 mo. agoBuy27¢2
2 mo. agoSell27¢134
2 mo. agoBuy27¢96
2 mo. agoBuy28¢20
2 mo. agoBuy28¢18
2 mo. agoSell30¢12
2 mo. agoBuy30¢12
2 mo. agoSell30¢20
2 mo. agoBuy30¢20
2 mo. agoSell30¢29
2 mo. agoBuy30¢29
2 mo. agoSell29¢114
2 mo. agoBuy29¢77
2 mo. agoBuy30¢30
2 mo. agoBuy30¢7
2 mo. agoSell33¢5
2 mo. agoBuy33¢5
2 mo. agoSell27¢5
2 mo. agoBuy27¢5
2 mo. agoSell35¢5
2 mo. agoBuy35¢5
2 mo. agoSell31¢50
2 mo. agoBuy31¢50
2 mo. agoSell36¢17
2 mo. agoBuy36¢17
2 mo. agoSell37¢32
2 mo. agoBuy37¢32
2 mo. agoSell26¢22
2 mo. agoSell74¢22
2 mo. agoSell31¢6
2 mo. agoBuy31¢6
2 mo. agoSell31¢8
2 mo. agoBuy31¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.