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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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36 %

chance

▼ −5.0%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +4.0%1W
Yes 36¢No 64¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$4.6K

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$295.09

1m vol.

$1.5K

Liquidity

$1.4K

Bid / Ask

33¢ / 39¢

Spread 6¢

Last trade

34¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
47¢$41
45¢$21
44¢$52
27¢$20
20¢$142
3¢$22
1¢$31
Asks (sell)Size
52¢$10
55¢$21
60¢$21
62¢$38
72¢$10
99¢$97

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy45¢41
2 mo. agoBuy55¢20
2 mo. agoBuy55¢21
2 mo. agoSell55¢21
2 mo. agoSell45¢21
2 mo. agoSell56¢82
2 mo. agoBuy56¢41
2 mo. agoBuy56¢21
2 mo. agoSell44¢20
3 mo. agoSell55¢165
3 mo. agoBuy54¢2
3 mo. agoBuy55¢82
3 mo. agoBuy56¢61
3 mo. agoBuy56¢20
3 mo. agoSell55¢40
3 mo. agoSell46¢20
3 mo. agoSell45¢20
3 mo. agoSell61¢76
3 mo. agoSell40¢36
3 mo. agoSell38¢40
3 mo. agoSell30¢20
3 mo. agoBuy30¢20
3 mo. agoSell35¢20
3 mo. agoBuy35¢20
3 mo. agoBuy44¢281
3 mo. agoBuy54¢24
3 mo. agoBuy55¢20
3 mo. agoBuy55¢21
3 mo. agoBuy55¢22
3 mo. agoBuy56¢40
3 mo. agoBuy56¢20
3 mo. agoBuy56¢30
3 mo. agoBuy56¢20
3 mo. agoSell44¢84
3 mo. agoSell57¢4
3 mo. agoBuy57¢4
3 mo. agoSell57¢6
3 mo. agoSell43¢6
3 mo. agoSell58¢20
3 mo. agoBuy58¢20
3 mo. agoSell60¢20
3 mo. agoBuy60¢20
3 mo. agoSell56¢20
3 mo. agoSell44¢20
3 mo. agoBuy28¢60
3 mo. agoSell28¢34
3 mo. agoSell27¢20
3 mo. agoBuy73¢6
3 mo. agoBuy27¢164
3 mo. agoBuy73¢34

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