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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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15 %

chance

▲ +1.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Total volume

$650.18

24h vol.

$22.06

1w vol.

$44.12

1m vol.

$108.12

Liquidity

$11.1K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 16¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$278
12¢$110
11¢$20
9¢$22
4¢$39
3¢$67
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$158
16¢$110
17¢$220
20¢$542
62¢$5
63¢$246
65¢$1,829
70¢$2,667
74¢$3,107
78¢$4,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (28)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy83¢64
1 mo. agoBuy17¢40
1 mo. agoBuy17¢24
2 mo. agoSell80¢50
2 mo. agoSell20¢50
2 mo. agoBuy74¢22
2 mo. agoBuy26¢22
2 mo. agoSell70¢40
2 mo. agoBuy70¢40
2 mo. agoSell70¢20
2 mo. agoBuy70¢20
2 mo. agoSell70¢40
2 mo. agoBuy70¢40
2 mo. agoSell70¢20
2 mo. agoBuy70¢20
2 mo. agoSell70¢60
2 mo. agoBuy70¢60
2 mo. agoSell70¢20
2 mo. agoBuy70¢20
2 mo. agoBuy10¢270
2 mo. agoBuy90¢20
2 mo. agoBuy90¢60
2 mo. agoBuy90¢20
2 mo. agoBuy90¢40
2 mo. agoBuy90¢40
2 mo. agoBuy90¢20
2 mo. agoBuy90¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢50

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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