Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

9 %

chance

▼ −0.4%24h▲ +0.8%1W
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Total volume

$5K

24h vol.

$71.8

1w vol.

$71.8

1m vol.

$407.392

Liquidity

$11.9K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 10¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$60
9¢$94
9¢$69
9¢$39
9¢$57
9¢$50
9¢$111
9¢$31
9¢$50
9¢$318
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$217
10¢$132
10¢$20
11¢$20
11¢$137
11¢$127
11¢$140
11¢$92
11¢$352
11¢$150

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 35%Sells 65%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy10¢143
2 wk. agoSell10¢1
2 wk. agoSell10¢132
2 wk. agoSell10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢13
1 mo. agoSell10¢8
1 mo. agoSell10¢5
2 mo. agoSell88¢5
2 mo. agoSell12¢5
2 mo. agoSell87¢15
2 mo. agoSell13¢15
2 mo. agoSell87¢49
2 mo. agoBuy87¢49
2 mo. agoSell87¢63
2 mo. agoSell13¢63
2 mo. agoSell87¢48
2 mo. agoSell13¢48
2 mo. agoSell87¢5
2 mo. agoSell13¢5
2 mo. agoSell87¢5
2 mo. agoSell13¢5
2 mo. agoSell87¢5
2 mo. agoBuy87¢5
2 mo. agoSell84¢19
2 mo. agoBuy84¢13
2 mo. agoSell16¢6
2 mo. agoBuy90¢33
2 mo. agoBuy10¢33
2 mo. agoSell8¢121
2 mo. agoBuy7¢1
2 mo. agoBuy7¢12
2 mo. agoSell93¢20
2 mo. agoSell93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy8¢6
2 mo. agoSell92¢40
2 mo. agoSell91¢22
2 mo. agoSell16¢20
2 mo. agoBuy16¢20
2 mo. agoSell12¢20
2 mo. agoBuy12¢20
2 mo. agoSell10¢159
2 mo. agoBuy10¢84
2 mo. agoBuy10¢25
2 mo. agoBuy10¢50
2 mo. agoSell11¢45
2 mo. agoBuy10¢5
2 mo. agoBuy10¢30
2 mo. agoSell88¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.