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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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15 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Total volume

$1.3K

24h vol.

$43.29

1w vol.

$98.86

1m vol.

$447.911

Liquidity

$12.4K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 16¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$150
12¢$182
11¢$149
10¢$20
8¢$175
7¢$486
6¢$27
4¢$30
3¢$309
2¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$132
15¢$130
16¢$603
17¢$642
18¢$776
19¢$33
20¢$1,800
50¢$1,000
65¢$2,129
70¢$2,667

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (43)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell85¢5
1 mo. agoBuy85¢5
1 mo. agoBuy85¢200
1 mo. agoBuy15¢200
1 mo. agoBuy84¢25
1 mo. agoSell84¢25
1 mo. agoSell84¢22
1 mo. agoBuy84¢5
1 mo. agoBuy84¢17
1 mo. agoSell84¢83
1 mo. agoBuy84¢83
2 mo. agoSell82¢60
2 mo. agoBuy82¢33
2 mo. agoBuy82¢27
2 mo. agoBuy82¢30
2 mo. agoBuy18¢30
2 mo. agoSell78¢40
2 mo. agoBuy78¢40
2 mo. agoSell78¢40
2 mo. agoBuy78¢40
2 mo. agoSell78¢80
2 mo. agoBuy78¢80
2 mo. agoSell78¢40
2 mo. agoBuy78¢40
2 mo. agoSell78¢40
2 mo. agoBuy78¢40
2 mo. agoBuy74¢23
2 mo. agoBuy26¢23
2 mo. agoBuy7¢100
2 mo. agoBuy93¢40
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢330
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢40
2 mo. agoBuy93¢40
2 mo. agoBuy93¢60
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢55
2 mo. agoBuy93¢20
2 mo. agoBuy94¢55

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.