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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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11 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 11¢No 90¢

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$17.14

1w vol.

$17.14

1m vol.

$17.14

Liquidity

$13.9K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 11¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$1,754
9¢$1,118
8¢$1,495
7¢$266
2¢$300
1¢$2,000
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$1,043
12¢$1,907
13¢$1,364
14¢$400
15¢$300
63¢$400
64¢$1,778
67¢$563
68¢$2,500
72¢$967

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell89¢2
1 mo. agoSell11¢2
1 mo. agoSell89¢1
1 mo. agoSell11¢1
1 mo. agoBuy90¢3
1 mo. agoBuy10¢3
1 mo. agoSell89¢2
1 mo. agoSell11¢2
1 mo. agoBuy90¢3
1 mo. agoBuy10¢3
1 mo. agoSell89¢3
1 mo. agoSell11¢3
2 mo. agoSell89¢9
2 mo. agoSell11¢9
2 mo. agoBuy11¢9
2 mo. agoBuy89¢9
2 mo. agoSell10¢17
2 mo. agoBuy10¢12
2 mo. agoBuy10¢5
2 mo. agoBuy90¢6
2 mo. agoBuy10¢6
2 mo. agoBuy90¢3
2 mo. agoBuy10¢3
2 mo. agoSell10¢47
2 mo. agoBuy10¢47
2 mo. agoBuy89¢17
2 mo. agoBuy11¢17
2 mo. agoBuy89¢3
2 mo. agoBuy11¢3
2 mo. agoBuy89¢2
2 mo. agoBuy11¢2
2 mo. agoSell11¢20
2 mo. agoBuy11¢20
2 mo. agoBuy89¢1
2 mo. agoBuy11¢1
2 mo. agoBuy89¢5
2 mo. agoBuy11¢5
2 mo. agoBuy89¢1
2 mo. agoBuy11¢1
2 mo. agoBuy89¢7
2 mo. agoBuy11¢7
2 mo. agoBuy89¢1
2 mo. agoBuy11¢1
2 mo. agoBuy89¢1
2 mo. agoBuy11¢1
2 mo. agoBuy89¢3
2 mo. agoBuy11¢3
2 mo. agoBuy88¢347
2 mo. agoBuy12¢47
2 mo. agoBuy12¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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