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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$628.222

24h vol.

$2

1w vol.

$2

1m vol.

$628.222

Liquidity

$9.2K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$415
2¢$242
1¢$20
1¢$20
0¢$43
0¢$320
0¢$435
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$199
5¢$180
20¢$10
50¢$5
50¢$40
61¢$300
61¢$1,641
66¢$2,353
71¢$2,759
75¢$3,520

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell97¢2
1 mo. agoSell3¢2
2 mo. agoSell97¢0
2 mo. agoSell3¢0
2 mo. agoSell97¢1
2 mo. agoSell3¢1
2 mo. agoSell97¢0
2 mo. agoSell3¢0
2 mo. agoSell97¢0
2 mo. agoSell3¢0
2 mo. agoSell97¢0
2 mo. agoSell3¢0
2 mo. agoSell97¢0
2 mo. agoSell3¢0
2 mo. agoSell2¢40
2 mo. agoSell98¢40
2 mo. agoSell3¢13
2 mo. agoBuy3¢13
2 mo. agoSell2¢40
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoSell3¢40
2 mo. agoBuy2¢6
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoSell97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy3¢9
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy3¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢4
2 mo. agoBuy3¢4
2 mo. agoBuy97¢2
2 mo. agoBuy3¢2
2 mo. agoBuy96¢3
2 mo. agoBuy4¢1
2 mo. agoBuy4¢2
2 mo. agoBuy96¢1
2 mo. agoBuy4¢1
2 mo. agoBuy97¢9
2 mo. agoBuy4¢9
2 mo. agoBuy96¢2
2 mo. agoBuy4¢2
2 mo. agoBuy96¢2
2 mo. agoBuy4¢2
2 mo. agoBuy96¢4
2 mo. agoBuy4¢4
2 mo. agoBuy95¢455
2 mo. agoBuy4¢125
2 mo. agoBuy4¢44
2 mo. agoBuy4¢20
2 mo. agoBuy4¢7

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