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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?
31 %
chance
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
50 outcomes- Andy Beshear89 %
- Ted Cruz83 %
- J.D. Vance81 %
- Pete Buttigieg79 %
- Gavin Newsom77 %
- Josh Shapiro66 %
- Ron DeSantis66 %
- Rahm Emanuel64 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez61 %
- Cory Booker59 %
- Mark Kelly57 %
- Kamala Harris55 %
- Wes Moore52 %
- Jon Ossoff52 %
- J.B. Pritzker52 %
- Andrew Yang51 %
- Brian Kemp48 %
- Rand Paul48 %
- Raphael Warnock48 %
- Marco Rubio43 %
- Phil Murphy41 %
- Josh Hawley36 %
- Katie Britt35 %
- Glenn Youngkin34 %
- Gretchen Whitmer32 %
- Steve Bannon32 %
- Hunter Biden31 %
- John Fetterman26 %
- Nikki Haley25 %
- Byron Donalds25 %
- Elise Stefanik24 %
- Don Lemon23 %
- Marjorie Taylor Greene22 %
- Gina Raimondo22 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy21 %
- Tulsi Gabbard20 %
- Stephen A. Smith19 %
- Mark Cuban19 %
- Jon Stewart18 %
- Kristi Noem18 %
- Tucker Carlson17 %
- Candace Owens17 %
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.16 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16 %
- Mike Pence16 %
- Michelle Obama15 %
- Donald Trump Jr.14 %
- Kim Kardashian14 %
- Matt Gaetz14 %
- Tom Brady14 %
Total volume
$5.4K
24h vol.
$474.77
1w vol.
$474.77
1m vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$20.4K
Bid / Ask
30¢ / 31¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
30¢
Start date
Aug 4, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 136 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 64 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 196 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 34 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 220 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 70 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.