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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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13 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 13¢No 88¢

Total volume

$28.61

24h vol.

$8.61

1w vol.

$8.61

1m vol.

$8.61

Liquidity

$12.3K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 13¢

Spread 1¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$367
11¢$122
10¢$112
9¢$382
8¢$134
2¢$11
1¢$78
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$346
14¢$791
15¢$1,068
16¢$349
17¢$20
62¢$68
63¢$300
64¢$643
65¢$2,857
68¢$871

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (6)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy88¢9
2 wk. agoSell88¢9
2 mo. agoBuy89¢10
2 mo. agoBuy11¢10
2 mo. agoBuy89¢10
2 mo. agoBuy11¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

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