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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics

12 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.5%1W

Yes 12¢No 88¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$100

24h vol.

$40

1w vol.

$40

1m vol.

$80

Liquidity

$16.2K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 13¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢

Bids (buy)Size

11¢$140

10¢$150

3¢$19

2¢$29

1¢$30

Asks (sell)Size

15¢$200

16¢$230

17¢$100

63¢$300

64¢$1,778

69¢$2,581

73¢$2,963

78¢$4,000

82¢$5,778

87¢$8,615

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (4)

Buys 50%Sells 50%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
1 mo. ago	Sell	87¢	20
1 mo. ago	Sell	13¢	20
2 mo. ago	Buy	12¢	20
2 mo. ago	Buy	88¢	20

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