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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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13 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 13¢No 88¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$2.4K

24h vol.

$83.943

1w vol.

$83.943

1m vol.

$707.552

Liquidity

$11.1K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 13¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$60
14¢$227
10¢$109
9¢$241
7¢$292
6¢$300
5¢$800
4¢$687
2¢$18
1¢$8,009
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$20
18¢$25
19¢$516
20¢$32
21¢$44
22¢$77
23¢$34
25¢$100
26¢$100
27¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 47%Sells 53%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell16¢37
1 mo. agoBuy16¢37
1 mo. agoSell83¢21
1 mo. agoBuy81¢1
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoSell83¢145
1 mo. agoBuy83¢21
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoSell17¢46
1 mo. agoSell17¢20
1 mo. agoSell17¢38
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoSell16¢5
1 mo. agoSell84¢5
1 mo. agoSell17¢80
1 mo. agoBuy17¢5
1 mo. agoBuy17¢30
1 mo. agoSell83¢25
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢40
1 mo. agoBuy18¢5
1 mo. agoSell82¢15
1 mo. agoSell82¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢269
1 mo. agoBuy19¢80
1 mo. agoBuy19¢40
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢40
1 mo. agoSell81¢20
1 mo. agoSell81¢20
1 mo. agoSell81¢49
1 mo. agoBuy81¢1
1 mo. agoSell81¢1
1 mo. agoSell80¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢20
1 mo. agoSell80¢22
1 mo. agoBuy80¢2
1 mo. agoBuy80¢20
1 mo. agoSell80¢25
1 mo. agoSell20¢25
1 mo. agoBuy81¢25
1 mo. agoSell81¢25
2 mo. agoSell77¢15
2 mo. agoBuy77¢15
2 mo. agoSell25¢3
2 mo. agoBuy25¢3
2 mo. agoSell27¢23
2 mo. agoBuy27¢23
2 mo. agoSell27¢53

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.