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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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9 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 9¢No 92¢

Total volume

$2.7K

24h vol.

$13

1w vol.

$13

1m vol.

$125.879

Liquidity

$11.9K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$159
7¢$703
6¢$988
5¢$1,650
4¢$1,020
3¢$536
2¢$3,218
1¢$4,017
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$270
10¢$2,038
11¢$526
12¢$158
59¢$5
60¢$52
61¢$233
62¢$389
63¢$1,730
66¢$545

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell91¢10
1 mo. agoSell9¢10
1 mo. agoSell92¢3
1 mo. agoSell8¢3
1 mo. agoBuy8¢13
1 mo. agoBuy92¢13
1 mo. agoBuy93¢3
1 mo. agoBuy7¢3
1 mo. agoBuy93¢2
1 mo. agoBuy7¢2
1 mo. agoSell92¢1
1 mo. agoSell8¢1
1 mo. agoBuy93¢4
1 mo. agoBuy7¢4
1 mo. agoSell92¢3
1 mo. agoSell8¢3
1 mo. agoBuy8¢13
1 mo. agoSell8¢13
1 mo. agoBuy93¢4
1 mo. agoBuy7¢4
1 mo. agoSell92¢2
1 mo. agoSell8¢2
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢10
2 mo. agoBuy91¢10
2 mo. agoBuy8¢50
2 mo. agoSell8¢10
2 mo. agoSell8¢20
2 mo. agoBuy92¢20
2 mo. agoSell8¢5
2 mo. agoBuy8¢5
2 mo. agoSell8¢158
2 mo. agoBuy8¢5
2 mo. agoBuy8¢9
2 mo. agoBuy8¢63
2 mo. agoBuy8¢20
2 mo. agoBuy8¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢21
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢1
2 mo. agoBuy7¢1
2 mo. agoBuy93¢1
2 mo. agoBuy7¢1
2 mo. agoBuy7¢1
2 mo. agoBuy93¢1
2 mo. agoBuy7¢1
2 mo. agoBuy9¢158
2 mo. agoBuy90¢48
2 mo. agoBuy91¢10
2 mo. agoBuy91¢100

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