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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?

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31 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 31¢No 70¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$192.6K

24h vol.

$561.339

1w vol.

$11.1K

1m vol.

$121.6K

Liquidity

$89.2K

Bid / Ask

30¢ / 31¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

31¢

Start date

Aug 18, 2026

End date

Apr 1, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
37¢$3,555
36¢$891
35¢$6,112
34¢$2,436
33¢$4,043
32¢$2,509
31¢$11,141
30¢$1,568
27¢$1,100
26¢$1,270
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$2,146
39¢$6,179
40¢$7,282
41¢$2,114
42¢$1,146
43¢$902
45¢$636
46¢$2,684
48¢$2,683
49¢$2,205

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 37%Sells 63%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy63¢12
4 wk. agoSell63¢12
4 wk. agoSell37¢664
4 wk. agoSell63¢664
4 wk. agoSell37¢9
4 wk. agoSell63¢9
4 wk. agoBuy63¢32
4 wk. agoSell63¢32
4 wk. agoBuy38¢15
4 wk. agoBuy62¢15
4 wk. agoSell62¢17
4 wk. agoBuy62¢17
4 wk. agoBuy63¢17
4 wk. agoSell63¢17
4 wk. agoSell62¢10
4 wk. agoBuy62¢10
4 wk. agoSell62¢9,475
4 wk. agoSell38¢9,475
4 wk. agoSell62¢908
4 wk. agoSell38¢908
4 wk. agoSell62¢5,999
4 wk. agoSell38¢5,999
4 wk. agoSell62¢15,789
4 wk. agoSell38¢15,789
4 wk. agoSell61¢100
4 wk. agoBuy61¢100
4 wk. agoBuy38¢145
4 wk. agoSell38¢145
4 wk. agoSell62¢12,071
4 wk. agoSell38¢11,926
4 wk. agoBuy62¢5
4 wk. agoBuy62¢100
4 wk. agoSell38¢40
4 wk. agoBuy38¢11
4 wk. agoSell38¢11
4 wk. agoBuy38¢102
4 wk. agoBuy62¢102
4 wk. agoSell61¢63
4 wk. agoSell39¢33
4 wk. agoSell39¢10
4 wk. agoSell39¢20
4 wk. agoBuy39¢7
4 wk. agoSell39¢7
4 wk. agoBuy63¢30
4 wk. agoSell63¢30
4 wk. agoBuy62¢16,382
4 wk. agoBuy38¢16,382
4 wk. agoBuy62¢5,406
4 wk. agoBuy38¢5,406
4 wk. agoBuy38¢9,475

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