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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?

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54 %

chance

▼ −1.5%24h▼ −4.0%1W
Yes 54¢No 46¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$255.61

1w vol.

$278.866

1m vol.

$1.3K

Liquidity

$65.3K

Bid / Ask

53¢ / 55¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

54¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Sep 1, 2027

ends in 11 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
57¢$20
56¢$608
55¢$66
54¢$44
53¢$100
51¢$125
50¢$555
49¢$200
40¢$300
35¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
59¢$178
60¢$551
61¢$1,755
62¢$1,050
64¢$500
67¢$500
74¢$500
83¢$20
87¢$50
90¢$500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy57¢39
4 wk. agoBuy43¢20
4 wk. agoSell57¢19
4 wk. agoSell42¢27
4 wk. agoBuy42¢27
4 wk. agoSell42¢27
4 wk. agoBuy42¢27
4 wk. agoBuy41¢22
4 wk. agoSell41¢22
1 mo. agoBuy41¢27
1 mo. agoSell41¢27
1 mo. agoBuy41¢27
1 mo. agoSell41¢27
1 mo. agoBuy41¢24
1 mo. agoSell41¢24
1 mo. agoSell39¢100
1 mo. agoBuy39¢100
1 mo. agoBuy60¢126
1 mo. agoBuy40¢100
1 mo. agoSell60¢16
1 mo. agoSell60¢10
1 mo. agoSell58¢19
1 mo. agoBuy58¢19
1 mo. agoBuy42¢24
1 mo. agoBuy58¢24
1 mo. agoBuy42¢24
1 mo. agoBuy58¢24
1 mo. agoBuy42¢24
1 mo. agoBuy58¢24
1 mo. agoBuy42¢23
1 mo. agoBuy58¢23
1 mo. agoSell59¢19
1 mo. agoBuy59¢19
1 mo. agoSell63¢9
1 mo. agoBuy63¢9
1 mo. agoSell63¢10
1 mo. agoBuy63¢10
1 mo. agoSell35¢1
1 mo. agoBuy35¢1
1 mo. agoSell35¢19
1 mo. agoBuy35¢19
1 mo. agoBuy65¢18
1 mo. agoBuy35¢18
1 mo. agoBuy63¢1
1 mo. agoBuy37¢1
1 mo. agoBuy63¢19
1 mo. agoBuy37¢19
1 mo. agoBuy63¢16
1 mo. agoBuy35¢11
1 mo. agoBuy42¢5

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