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Updated 1 mo. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

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48 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 48¢No 52¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$165.2K

24h vol.

$284.161

1w vol.

$2.2K

1m vol.

$14.3K

Liquidity

$98K

Bid / Ask

47¢ / 49¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

47¢

Start date

Aug 18, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
56¢$553
55¢$1,329
54¢$4,899
53¢$3,261
52¢$1,305
51¢$222
50¢$547
49¢$728
48¢$100
47¢$1,453
Asks (sell)Size
57¢$2,671
58¢$1,403
59¢$4,054
60¢$2,819
61¢$4,100
62¢$3,013
63¢$600
65¢$10
66¢$61
67¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 15%Sells 85%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy44¢10
1 mo. agoSell44¢10
1 mo. agoBuy44¢22
1 mo. agoSell44¢22
1 mo. agoBuy44¢9
1 mo. agoSell44¢9
1 mo. agoSell56¢6,400
1 mo. agoSell44¢6,300
1 mo. agoSell44¢100
1 mo. agoSell56¢2,200
1 mo. agoSell44¢2,101
1 mo. agoSell44¢99
1 mo. agoSell56¢1
1 mo. agoSell44¢1
1 mo. agoSell43¢100
1 mo. agoBuy43¢68
1 mo. agoSell57¢32
1 mo. agoSell56¢6
1 mo. agoBuy56¢6
1 mo. agoSell43¢200
1 mo. agoSell57¢200
1 mo. agoSell43¢18
1 mo. agoSell57¢18
1 mo. agoSell56¢1
1 mo. agoBuy56¢1
1 mo. agoSell56¢3,400
1 mo. agoSell44¢3,300
1 mo. agoSell44¢100
1 mo. agoSell56¢200
1 mo. agoSell44¢200
1 mo. agoSell56¢50
1 mo. agoSell44¢50
1 mo. agoSell56¢4,000
1 mo. agoSell44¢3,679
1 mo. agoBuy56¢105
1 mo. agoBuy56¢53
1 mo. agoBuy56¢50
1 mo. agoSell44¢100
1 mo. agoSell44¢13
1 mo. agoBuy44¢53
1 mo. agoSell44¢53
1 mo. agoSell56¢20
1 mo. agoBuy56¢20
1 mo. agoSell56¢6,400
1 mo. agoBuy56¢6,275
1 mo. agoBuy56¢20
1 mo. agoSell44¢5
1 mo. agoSell44¢77
1 mo. agoSell44¢23
1 mo. agoBuy44¢70

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