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Updated 1 day ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

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19 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 19¢No 82¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$101.8K

24h vol.

$381.96

1w vol.

$13.9K

1m vol.

$34K

Liquidity

$66K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 19¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Feb 1, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$4,777
17¢$4,646
16¢$25,021
15¢$75,322
14¢$29,157
13¢$16,227
12¢$1,125
11¢$11,211
8¢$487
7¢$5,098
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$2,939
20¢$2,363
21¢$540
22¢$1,110
23¢$1,114
24¢$200
25¢$66
27¢$75
28¢$100
29¢$1,146

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell18¢25
2 days agoBuy18¢25
2 days agoBuy82¢20
2 days agoBuy18¢20
2 days agoSell18¢257
2 days agoSell82¢57
2 days agoBuy18¢200
2 days agoBuy19¢200
2 days agoSell19¢200
2 days agoBuy18¢60
2 days agoSell18¢50
2 days agoBuy82¢10
2 days agoSell18¢237
2 days agoBuy17¢100
2 days agoBuy18¢103
2 days agoSell82¢25
2 days agoBuy18¢9
2 days agoSell18¢77
2 days agoBuy18¢77
2 days agoSell18¢51
2 days agoBuy18¢26
2 days agoSell82¢25
2 days agoSell18¢187
2 days agoBuy18¢187
2 days agoSell18¢79
2 days agoBuy18¢79
2 days agoSell18¢62
2 days agoBuy18¢62
2 days agoBuy82¢2
2 days agoBuy18¢2
2 days agoSell18¢9
2 days agoBuy18¢9
2 days agoSell80¢2
2 days agoSell20¢2
2 days agoBuy82¢181
2 days agoBuy18¢181
2 days agoSell18¢200
2 days agoBuy18¢179
2 days agoSell82¢21
2 days agoSell80¢29
2 days agoSell20¢29
2 days agoBuy19¢6
2 days agoSell19¢1
2 days agoSell19¢5
2 days agoSell18¢625
2 days agoSell82¢79
2 days agoBuy18¢417
2 days agoBuy19¢129
2 days agoSell20¢36
2 days agoBuy20¢36

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