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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

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46 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 46¢No 54¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$19.7K

24h vol.

$760.903

1w vol.

$4K

1m vol.

$17.8K

Liquidity

$87.8K

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 47¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

47¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Jun 1, 2027

ends in 7 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
51¢$1,400
50¢$50
49¢$47
48¢$105
30¢$113
28¢$300
26¢$225
25¢$1,000
22¢$300
21¢$5,977
Asks (sell)Size
52¢$27
53¢$1,310
54¢$2,388
55¢$20
92¢$7
93¢$270
99¢$26

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy52¢118
1 mo. agoSell52¢78
1 mo. agoSell52¢40
1 mo. agoBuy52¢160
1 mo. agoSell52¢20
1 mo. agoSell52¢100
1 mo. agoSell52¢40
1 mo. agoBuy49¢20
1 mo. agoBuy51¢20
1 mo. agoBuy48¢207
1 mo. agoBuy51¢50
1 mo. agoBuy52¢57
1 mo. agoBuy52¢100
1 mo. agoSell47¢20
1 mo. agoBuy47¢20
1 mo. agoBuy52¢184
1 mo. agoBuy48¢20
1 mo. agoBuy48¢164
1 mo. agoBuy48¢340
1 mo. agoBuy52¢300
1 mo. agoBuy52¢40
1 mo. agoSell47¢1
1 mo. agoBuy47¢1
1 mo. agoSell47¢19
1 mo. agoBuy47¢19
1 mo. agoBuy48¢21
1 mo. agoBuy52¢21
1 mo. agoBuy53¢119
1 mo. agoSell53¢20
1 mo. agoBuy47¢59
1 mo. agoSell53¢40
1 mo. agoBuy48¢313
1 mo. agoBuy52¢53
1 mo. agoBuy52¢160
1 mo. agoBuy52¢40
1 mo. agoBuy52¢40
1 mo. agoBuy54¢20
1 mo. agoBuy47¢9
1 mo. agoBuy53¢9
1 mo. agoBuy49¢15
1 mo. agoBuy51¢15
1 mo. agoBuy49¢19
1 mo. agoBuy51¢14
1 mo. agoBuy52¢5
1 mo. agoBuy43¢1
1 mo. agoBuy57¢1
1 mo. agoBuy43¢19
1 mo. agoBuy57¢19
1 mo. agoBuy47¢15
1 mo. agoBuy53¢15

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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