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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?

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38 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 38¢No 63¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$5.4K

24h vol.

$100

1w vol.

$430.696

1m vol.

$4.2K

Liquidity

$46.9K

Bid / Ask

37¢ / 38¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

38¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

May 1, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
41¢$77
40¢$233
39¢$208
37¢$163
34¢$45
33¢$200
28¢$1,225
27¢$500
26¢$225
25¢$1,000
Asks (sell)Size
44¢$122
45¢$233
46¢$1,190
47¢$807
48¢$354
49¢$1,176
50¢$5,000
54¢$500
58¢$500
70¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (48)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell44¢62
1 mo. agoBuy44¢62
1 mo. agoSell44¢55
1 mo. agoBuy44¢55
1 mo. agoBuy44¢209
1 mo. agoSell44¢20
1 mo. agoBuy56¢69
1 mo. agoSell44¢20
1 mo. agoSell44¢100
1 mo. agoBuy44¢72
1 mo. agoSell44¢0
1 mo. agoSell44¢72
1 mo. agoBuy60¢17
1 mo. agoBuy40¢17
1 mo. agoSell56¢28
1 mo. agoSell44¢28
1 mo. agoBuy58¢174
1 mo. agoBuy42¢4
1 mo. agoBuy42¢100
1 mo. agoBuy43¢52
1 mo. agoBuy43¢18
1 mo. agoSell44¢80
1 mo. agoSell56¢80
1 mo. agoSell43¢48
1 mo. agoBuy43¢48
1 mo. agoBuy42¢80
1 mo. agoBuy58¢80
1 mo. agoBuy55¢335
1 mo. agoBuy44¢80
1 mo. agoBuy44¢5
1 mo. agoBuy45¢48
1 mo. agoBuy45¢5
1 mo. agoBuy45¢197
1 mo. agoBuy54¢9
1 mo. agoBuy45¢3
1 mo. agoBuy46¢6
1 mo. agoBuy49¢6
1 mo. agoBuy51¢6
1 mo. agoBuy53¢14
1 mo. agoBuy47¢14
1 mo. agoBuy53¢11
1 mo. agoBuy47¢11
1 mo. agoSell51¢2
1 mo. agoBuy51¢2
1 mo. agoBuy53¢2
1 mo. agoBuy47¢2
1 mo. agoBuy49¢20
1 mo. agoBuy51¢20

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