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Updated 1 mo. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?

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26 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −0.5%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 26¢No 75¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$30K

24h vol.

$53.222

1w vol.

$1.5K

1m vol.

$25.1K

Liquidity

$39K

Bid / Ask

25¢ / 26¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

26¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Mar 1, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
34¢$140
33¢$102
32¢$207
31¢$572
30¢$635
29¢$842
28¢$647
27¢$1,055
24¢$500
18¢$800
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$255
36¢$4,059
37¢$156
40¢$300
43¢$500
49¢$500
52¢$400
53¢$500
54¢$600
63¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell35¢200
1 mo. agoBuy35¢200
1 mo. agoBuy65¢180
1 mo. agoBuy35¢160
1 mo. agoSell64¢20
1 mo. agoBuy65¢530
1 mo. agoBuy35¢170
1 mo. agoBuy35¢300
1 mo. agoBuy35¢60
1 mo. agoBuy64¢120
1 mo. agoSell64¢20
1 mo. agoBuy36¢100
1 mo. agoSell63¢20
1 mo. agoSell37¢20
1 mo. agoBuy37¢158
1 mo. agoBuy63¢20
1 mo. agoSell37¢50
1 mo. agoBuy63¢88
1 mo. agoBuy65¢15
1 mo. agoBuy35¢15
1 mo. agoBuy65¢154
1 mo. agoBuy35¢124
1 mo. agoBuy36¢30
1 mo. agoSell35¢5
1 mo. agoSell65¢5
1 mo. agoBuy38¢6
1 mo. agoBuy62¢6
1 mo. agoBuy37¢13
1 mo. agoBuy63¢13
1 mo. agoBuy37¢51
1 mo. agoBuy63¢3
1 mo. agoSell37¢48
1 mo. agoSell37¢24
1 mo. agoBuy37¢24
1 mo. agoBuy63¢13
1 mo. agoBuy37¢6
1 mo. agoSell63¢6
1 mo. agoBuy63¢80
1 mo. agoSell63¢25
1 mo. agoBuy37¢35
1 mo. agoBuy38¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢2
1 mo. agoBuy38¢2
1 mo. agoSell37¢8
1 mo. agoSell63¢8
1 mo. agoBuy62¢65
1 mo. agoSell62¢4
1 mo. agoBuy38¢36
1 mo. agoSell62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy38¢5

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