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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?

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57 %

chance

▼ −2.5%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 57¢No 43¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$2.3K

24h vol.

$168.86

1w vol.

$263.519

1m vol.

$1.4K

Liquidity

$75.2K

Bid / Ask

56¢ / 58¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

56¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Oct 1, 2027

ends in 12 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
56¢$20
55¢$80
54¢$388
51¢$36
45¢$500
44¢$77
43¢$88
42¢$99
40¢$300
36¢$560
Asks (sell)Size
62¢$200
63¢$1,080
64¢$1,640
67¢$500
73¢$300
77¢$500
86¢$20
87¢$50
90¢$5
93¢$800

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell62¢5
1 mo. agoBuy62¢5
1 mo. agoSell63¢10
1 mo. agoSell37¢10
1 mo. agoSell38¢19
1 mo. agoBuy37¢3
1 mo. agoBuy38¢16
1 mo. agoSell38¢23
1 mo. agoBuy38¢23
1 mo. agoSell37¢76
1 mo. agoBuy37¢76
1 mo. agoBuy39¢26
1 mo. agoBuy61¢26
1 mo. agoSell38¢20
1 mo. agoBuy38¢20
1 mo. agoBuy38¢13
1 mo. agoBuy62¢13
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoBuy66¢19
1 mo. agoSell34¢1
1 mo. agoBuy34¢19
1 mo. agoSell34¢19
1 mo. agoBuy33¢23
1 mo. agoSell33¢19
1 mo. agoSell33¢4
1 mo. agoBuy33¢76
1 mo. agoSell33¢76
1 mo. agoSell31¢178
1 mo. agoBuy30¢28
1 mo. agoBuy31¢80
1 mo. agoBuy31¢20
1 mo. agoBuy32¢20
1 mo. agoBuy32¢30
1 mo. agoSell31¢15
1 mo. agoBuy31¢15
1 mo. agoBuy67¢15
1 mo. agoBuy33¢15
1 mo. agoBuy42¢178
1 mo. agoBuy58¢178
1 mo. agoBuy59¢29
1 mo. agoBuy41¢20
1 mo. agoSell59¢9
1 mo. agoBuy43¢12
1 mo. agoBuy57¢12
1 mo. agoBuy42¢24
1 mo. agoBuy57¢4
1 mo. agoBuy58¢20
1 mo. agoSell58¢9
1 mo. agoBuy58¢9
1 mo. agoSell58¢19

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