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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?

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51 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −3.5%1W
Yes 51¢No 50¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$3.8K

24h vol.

$11.69

1w vol.

$276.563

1m vol.

$1.6K

Liquidity

$76.7K

Bid / Ask

50¢ / 51¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

50¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Aug 1, 2027

ends in 10 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
55¢$560
54¢$186
47¢$50
33¢$68
32¢$300
31¢$113
30¢$500
28¢$113
27¢$500
26¢$225
Asks (sell)Size
57¢$60
58¢$426
59¢$1,265
60¢$1,525
61¢$500
62¢$32
64¢$500
72¢$500
82¢$20
86¢$540

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy56¢20
1 mo. agoBuy44¢20
1 mo. agoBuy56¢89
1 mo. agoBuy44¢89
1 mo. agoBuy54¢28
1 mo. agoBuy46¢28
1 mo. agoBuy58¢60
1 mo. agoBuy42¢20
1 mo. agoSell58¢40
1 mo. agoBuy56¢10
1 mo. agoSell56¢10
1 mo. agoSell56¢20
1 mo. agoBuy56¢20
1 mo. agoBuy57¢20
1 mo. agoSell57¢20
1 mo. agoBuy43¢23
1 mo. agoBuy57¢23
1 mo. agoBuy43¢23
1 mo. agoBuy57¢23
1 mo. agoSell41¢5
1 mo. agoSell59¢5
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy59¢5
1 mo. agoSell57¢120
1 mo. agoBuy57¢120
1 mo. agoBuy41¢480
1 mo. agoBuy58¢120
1 mo. agoSell42¢60
1 mo. agoBuy58¢60
1 mo. agoBuy59¢200
1 mo. agoBuy59¢40
1 mo. agoBuy57¢57
1 mo. agoSell57¢16
1 mo. agoBuy43¢41
1 mo. agoSell43¢19
1 mo. agoBuy43¢19
1 mo. agoBuy44¢50
1 mo. agoBuy56¢30
1 mo. agoBuy57¢20
1 mo. agoSell57¢18
1 mo. agoBuy57¢18
1 mo. agoSell60¢16
1 mo. agoBuy60¢16
1 mo. agoBuy40¢57
1 mo. agoBuy59¢16
1 mo. agoBuy60¢21
1 mo. agoBuy61¢20
1 mo. agoSell37¢9
1 mo. agoBuy37¢9
1 mo. agoSell37¢10

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