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Updated 4 wk. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?

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63 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 63¢No 37¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$5.3K

24h vol.

$478.587

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$4.4K

Liquidity

$91.5K

Bid / Ask

62¢ / 64¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

63¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2027

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
60¢$100
59¢$193
58¢$199
55¢$100
42¢$68
41¢$300
40¢$77
39¢$77
38¢$225
37¢$1,191
Asks (sell)Size
63¢$88
64¢$1,350
65¢$1,000
69¢$300
72¢$500
74¢$77
75¢$500
76¢$500
87¢$20
94¢$507

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy62¢170
4 wk. agoBuy38¢170
4 wk. agoSell59¢3
4 wk. agoBuy59¢3
4 wk. agoSell60¢27
4 wk. agoBuy60¢3
4 wk. agoBuy60¢23
4 wk. agoSell60¢27
4 wk. agoBuy60¢27
1 mo. agoBuy60¢5
1 mo. agoSell60¢5
1 mo. agoBuy58¢27
1 mo. agoBuy42¢27
1 mo. agoBuy58¢27
1 mo. agoBuy42¢27
1 mo. agoSell65¢68
1 mo. agoBuy65¢68
1 mo. agoSell65¢20
1 mo. agoBuy65¢20
1 mo. agoBuy35¢29
1 mo. agoBuy65¢29
1 mo. agoBuy67¢15
1 mo. agoSell67¢15
1 mo. agoBuy35¢3
1 mo. agoBuy65¢3
1 mo. agoBuy35¢27
1 mo. agoBuy65¢27
1 mo. agoBuy35¢12
1 mo. agoBuy65¢12
1 mo. agoBuy35¢14
1 mo. agoBuy65¢9
1 mo. agoBuy66¢5
1 mo. agoSell31¢20
1 mo. agoSell69¢20
1 mo. agoSell64¢80
1 mo. agoBuy64¢80
1 mo. agoBuy35¢353
1 mo. agoBuy64¢145
1 mo. agoBuy65¢20
1 mo. agoBuy65¢80
1 mo. agoBuy65¢108
1 mo. agoBuy67¢30
1 mo. agoBuy32¢4
1 mo. agoSell67¢26
1 mo. agoBuy34¢51
1 mo. agoBuy66¢26
1 mo. agoBuy66¢5
1 mo. agoBuy67¢20
1 mo. agoBuy36¢3
1 mo. agoBuy64¢3

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