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Updated 3 wk. ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?
61 %
chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$69.3K
24h vol.
$12.393
1w vol.
$100.843
1m vol.
$11.6K
Liquidity
$90.5K
Bid / Ask
60¢ / 62¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
61¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2027
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 16 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 16 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 10,900 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 10,900 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 900 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 870 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 8,500 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 8,495 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 10,800 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 10,579 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 201 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 27 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 27 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 9,400 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 9,400 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 9,900 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 9,900 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10,800 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 10,800 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 2,021 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
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