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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will UConn win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

10 %

chance

▲ +1.5%1h▲ +0.9%24h▲ +2.5%1W
Yes 10¢No 90¢
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Market brief

  • Last 24 trades: 17 buys, 7 sells; the largest was $60 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 14% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,007 cases). That is more often than their average price of 10% implied — prices in this range have run low.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$521.885

Liquidity

$24K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1K

1m vol.

$1.3K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 10¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$460
1¢$300
1¢$30,000
0¢$7
0¢$10
0¢$100,025
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$7
8¢$44
15¢$77
15¢$150
18¢$20
30¢$40
30¢$5
42¢$95
42¢$30
50¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (24)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy98¢10
1 mo. agoBuy2¢10
1 mo. agoBuy98¢10
1 mo. agoBuy2¢10
1 mo. agoSell2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoSell94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢20
1 mo. agoSell94¢40
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy89¢60
1 mo. agoBuy11¢40
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoSell22¢3
1 mo. agoSell78¢3
1 mo. agoBuy78¢77
1 mo. agoSell78¢77
1 mo. agoBuy2¢30
1 mo. agoBuy98¢30
1 mo. agoBuy98¢50
1 mo. agoBuy2¢50
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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