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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will North Carolina win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

1 %

chance

▲ +0.3%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 24 trades: 21 buys, 3 sells; the largest was $546 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$2.2K

24h vol.

$263.55

Liquidity

$31.1K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

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Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$767.14

1m vol.

$1.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$1,181
1¢$30,010
1¢$3,117
1¢$3,333
1¢$4,000
0¢$3,750
0¢$3,340
0¢$2,510
0¢$5,075
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$20
3¢$56
5¢$113
5¢$20
5¢$80
6¢$41
52¢$40
52¢$5
52¢$20
53¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (24)

Buys 91%Sells 9%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell3¢100
1 mo. agoBuy3¢7
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢73
1 mo. agoSell3¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoSell2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢577
1 mo. agoBuy5¢80
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢320
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢56
1 mo. agoBuy6¢21
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy98¢20
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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