Skip to content

← Sports odds

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Virginia win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢
Watch this market

Market brief

  • Last 40 trades: 32 buys, 8 sells; the largest was $449 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

Result by email

Find out how it ends

One email when this market resolves. No account needed.

We send a confirmation link first. After the result email, we delete your address. Privacy

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$487.06

Liquidity

$35.5K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$498.2

1m vol.

$1.7K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 5¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$1,100
0¢$7
0¢$159
0¢$6,080
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$42
3¢$61
3¢$162
6¢$20
36¢$85
36¢$20
42¢$50
42¢$5
42¢$25
43¢$35

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (40)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell2¢50
4 wk. agoBuy2¢50
4 wk. agoSell2¢40
4 wk. agoBuy2¢40
4 wk. agoSell2¢40
4 wk. agoBuy2¢40
4 wk. agoBuy98¢20
4 wk. agoBuy2¢20
4 wk. agoBuy94¢479
4 wk. agoBuy6¢43
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢50
4 wk. agoBuy6¢40
4 wk. agoBuy6¢40
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢162
4 wk. agoBuy6¢24
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy95¢1
4 wk. agoBuy6¢1
4 wk. agoBuy94¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell1¢22
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy2¢21
1 mo. agoSell98¢5
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoSell1¢7
1 mo. agoBuy1¢7
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy93¢5
1 mo. agoBuy7¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

Related markets

Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.

More around this market