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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Alabama win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

2 %

chance

▲ +0.4%1h▲ +0.5%24h▼ −2.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 35 trades: 23 buys, 12 sells; the largest was $106 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$965.26

Liquidity

$29.7K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1m vol.

$1.3K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 3¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$150
0¢$51
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$20
19¢$950
21¢$2,000
22¢$2,000
23¢$2,000
55¢$20
70¢$20
74¢$80
85¢$8
85¢$240

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (35)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢28
1 mo. agoBuy0¢4
1 mo. agoBuy0¢24
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢6
1 mo. agoBuy0¢6
1 mo. agoSell5¢34
1 mo. agoBuy5¢34
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢14
1 mo. agoBuy5¢6
1 mo. agoSell5¢14
1 mo. agoBuy5¢14
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢114
1 mo. agoBuy7¢34
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢40
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy74¢4
2 mo. agoBuy26¢4
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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