Skip to content

← Sports odds

Updated 1 day ago

Will Indiana win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.3%24h▼ −4.8%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Watch this market

Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 4.8 pp over the past week, after touching 6% on Nov 4, 2026.
  • Last 24 trades: 1 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $84 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$550.41

24h vol.

$471.88

Liquidity

$17.8K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$493.61

1m vol.

$530.41

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$14,718
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$22
3¢$226
3¢$522
4¢$100
4¢$500
5¢$135
6¢$5
7¢$5
7¢$270
8¢$16

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (24)

Buys 4%Sells 96%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell0¢27
2 days agoSell0¢43
2 days agoSell0¢37
2 days agoSell0¢34
2 days agoSell0¢5
2 days agoSell0¢26
2 days agoSell0¢9
2 days agoSell0¢8
2 days agoSell0¢38
2 days agoSell0¢21
2 days agoSell0¢19
2 days agoSell0¢84
2 days agoSell0¢8
2 days agoSell0¢11
2 days agoSell0¢8
2 days agoSell0¢6
2 days agoSell0¢76
2 days agoSell0¢6
2 days agoSell0¢6
3 days agoBuy2¢22
1 wk. agoSell0¢18
1 wk. agoSell0¢19
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

Related markets

Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.

More around this market