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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Villanova win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

0 %

chance

▼ −3.3%24h▼ −3.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 3.0 pp over the past week (−3.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 21% on Oct 14, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 40 buys, 10 sells; the largest was $622 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.1K

24h vol.

$1K

Liquidity

$1.7K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$1.1K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$122
0¢$167
0¢$5
4¢$20
7¢$20
7¢$40
62¢$20
74¢$80
90¢$7
90¢$7

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell0¢4
4 wk. agoBuy0¢4
4 wk. agoSell1¢20
4 wk. agoBuy1¢20
4 wk. agoSell1¢20
4 wk. agoBuy1¢20
4 wk. agoSell0¢3
4 wk. agoBuy0¢3
4 wk. agoSell0¢27
4 wk. agoBuy0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢7
4 wk. agoSell0¢40
4 wk. agoBuy0¢13
4 wk. agoBuy0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢7
4 wk. agoSell0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢15
4 wk. agoBuy0¢5
4 wk. agoSell1¢60
4 wk. agoBuy0¢10
4 wk. agoBuy1¢30
4 wk. agoBuy1¢20
4 wk. agoBuy100¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢20
4 wk. agoSell7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoSell0¢100
4 wk. agoBuy0¢100
4 wk. agoBuy93¢667
4 wk. agoBuy1¢60
4 wk. agoBuy7¢22
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢100
4 wk. agoBuy7¢40
4 wk. agoBuy7¢40
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢130
4 wk. agoBuy7¢24
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢21
4 wk. agoBuy7¢30
4 wk. agoBuy93¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢0
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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