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Updated 1 day ago

Will Tennessee win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

1 %

chance

▼ −0.8%24h▼ −4.0%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 4.0 pp over the past week, after touching 5% on Nov 4, 2026.
  • Last 25 trades: 0 buys, 25 sells; the largest was $82 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$456.04

24h vol.

$331.35

Liquidity

$18K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1m vol.

$382.7

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
1¢$210
2¢$500
3¢$100
24¢$500
24¢$125
24¢$60
33¢$100
33¢$100
48¢$400
48¢$130

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (25)

Buys 0%Sells 100%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell0¢26
2 days agoSell0¢5
2 days agoSell0¢9
2 days agoSell0¢8
2 days agoSell0¢38
2 days agoSell0¢19
2 days agoSell0¢21
2 days agoSell2¢8
2 days agoSell2¢84
2 days agoSell2¢11
2 days agoSell2¢8
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢76
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢6
1 wk. agoSell0¢18
1 wk. agoSell0¢19
4 wk. agoSell1¢7
4 wk. agoSell0¢4
4 wk. agoSell1¢4
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoSell1¢27
1 mo. agoSell1¢7
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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