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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Georgia win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

7 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▼ −4.1%24h▼ −2.9%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢
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Market brief

  • Down 4.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 36% on Oct 6, 2026.
  • Last 28 trades: 20 buys, 8 sells; the largest was $209 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 14% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,007 cases). That is more often than their average price of 10% implied — prices in this range have run low.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$346.33

24h vol.

$320.33

Liquidity

$1.6K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$346.33

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 11¢

Spread 8¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$50
3¢$142
3¢$54
3¢$20
0¢$7
0¢$105
0¢$159
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$70
10¢$61
11¢$20
12¢$102
13¢$20
18¢$20
18¢$20
55¢$135
55¢$221
55¢$222

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (28)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy83¢251
1 mo. agoBuy12¢51
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢21
1 mo. agoBuy18¢25
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢14
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell82¢0
1 mo. agoSell18¢4
1 mo. agoSell82¢4
1 mo. agoSell18¢5
1 mo. agoSell82¢5
1 mo. agoSell80¢9
1 mo. agoBuy80¢9
1 mo. agoSell93¢21
1 mo. agoBuy93¢21
1 mo. agoBuy12¢30
1 mo. agoBuy88¢30
1 mo. agoBuy12¢21
1 mo. agoBuy88¢14
1 mo. agoSell12¢7
1 mo. agoBuy100¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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