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Updated 1 day ago

Will Oklahoma win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 25 trades: 2 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $181 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$759

24h vol.

$471.88

Liquidity

$32.2K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

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Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1m vol.

$508.68

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$851
0¢$3,000
0¢$3,000
0¢$3,305
0¢$10,207
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$224
2¢$652
2¢$200
3¢$180
5¢$5
5¢$225
6¢$200
11¢$400
18¢$30
18¢$10

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (25)

Buys 7%Sells 93%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell1¢27
2 days agoSell1¢43
2 days agoSell1¢34
2 days agoSell1¢37
2 days agoSell1¢5
2 days agoSell1¢26
2 days agoSell1¢9
2 days agoSell1¢8
2 days agoSell1¢38
2 days agoSell1¢21
2 days agoSell1¢19
2 days agoSell1¢8
2 days agoSell1¢84
2 days agoSell1¢11
2 days agoSell1¢8
2 days agoSell1¢76
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢18
1 wk. agoSell1¢19
1 mo. agoSell7¢194
1 mo. agoBuy7¢30
1 mo. agoBuy7¢21
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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