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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will West Virginia win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

1 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 38 trades: 29 buys, 9 sells; the largest was $17 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$204.93

Liquidity

$16.9K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$244.93

1m vol.

$1.6K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 2¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$150
0¢$7
0¢$10
0¢$1,025
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$1,007
52¢$135
52¢$20
57¢$100
57¢$10
58¢$10
59¢$10
60¢$20
61¢$200
62¢$180

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (38)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy76¢10
1 mo. agoBuy24¢10
1 mo. agoBuy76¢10
1 mo. agoBuy24¢10
1 mo. agoBuy76¢10
1 mo. agoBuy24¢10
1 mo. agoBuy74¢5
1 mo. agoBuy26¢5
1 mo. agoBuy72¢10
1 mo. agoBuy28¢7
1 mo. agoBuy28¢3
1 mo. agoBuy72¢10
1 mo. agoBuy28¢10
1 mo. agoSell28¢5
1 mo. agoBuy28¢5
1 mo. agoSell28¢2
1 mo. agoBuy28¢2
1 mo. agoBuy72¢5
1 mo. agoBuy28¢5
1 mo. agoBuy72¢7
1 mo. agoBuy28¢7
1 mo. agoBuy72¢7
1 mo. agoBuy28¢7
1 mo. agoSell72¢16
1 mo. agoSell28¢16
1 mo. agoSell28¢4
1 mo. agoSell72¢4
1 mo. agoSell72¢1
1 mo. agoBuy72¢1
1 mo. agoSell83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoSell83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢21
1 mo. agoBuy83¢1
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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