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Updated 1 day ago

Will Gonzaga win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

3 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.9%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢
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Market brief

  • Last 30 trades: 0 buys, 30 sells; the largest was $191 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$352.55

Liquidity

$31K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$1.1K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$164
2¢$500
2¢$100
1¢$550
1¢$550
1¢$550
1¢$550
1¢$550
1¢$850
1¢$2,833
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$100
5¢$37
5¢$500
5¢$215
5¢$200
5¢$500
7¢$113
9¢$360
10¢$180
15¢$374

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (30)

Buys 0%Sells 100%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell5¢200
2 days agoSell5¢7
2 days agoSell5¢6
2 days agoSell5¢50
2 days agoSell4¢27
2 days agoSell4¢43
2 days agoSell3¢37
2 days agoSell3¢34
2 days agoSell2¢26
2 days agoSell2¢5
2 days agoSell2¢9
2 days agoSell2¢8
2 days agoSell2¢38
2 days agoSell2¢21
2 days agoSell2¢19
2 days agoSell2¢8
2 days agoSell2¢84
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢11
2 days agoSell2¢8
2 days agoSell2¢76
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢19
1 wk. agoSell1¢18
4 wk. agoSell4¢4
4 wk. agoSell6¢4
1 mo. agoSell2¢7
1 mo. agoSell2¢10
1 mo. agoSell2¢10
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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