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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Wisconsin win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

0 %

chance

▼ −1.4%1h▼ −0.7%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 38 trades: 25 buys, 13 sells; the largest was $851 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (361 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$480.82

Liquidity

$20.8K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1m vol.

$517.62

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$250
0¢$802
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$47
6¢$40
6¢$100
8¢$802
8¢$171
27¢$20
28¢$100
28¢$100
29¢$87
31¢$41

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (38)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoSell100¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoSell100¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoSell100¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoSell100¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy97¢882
1 mo. agoBuy2¢300
1 mo. agoBuy4¢401
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢41
1 mo. agoSell94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢21
1 mo. agoBuy92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoSell2¢7
1 mo. agoBuy2¢7
1 mo. agoBuy100¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢23
1 mo. agoBuy5¢23
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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