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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Sports

5 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −0.4%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢
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Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $899 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 14% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,007 cases). That is more often than their average price of 10% implied — prices in this range have run low.
  • Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 20, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

39 outcomes
See all 39 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$5.4K

24h vol.

$506.533

Liquidity

$40.1K

End date

Apr 20, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$2.9K

1m vol.

$5.2K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 8¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Aug 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$67
1¢$40
1¢$2,127
1¢$29,710
1¢$2,857
1¢$3,333
1¢$4,000
0¢$3,750
0¢$3,333
0¢$2,756
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$295
3¢$40
4¢$20
7¢$20
11¢$2,000
33¢$40
33¢$10
33¢$40
33¢$45
33¢$20

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy3¢93
4 wk. agoSell3¢43
4 wk. agoSell3¢50
4 wk. agoBuy3¢66
4 wk. agoSell3¢40
4 wk. agoSell3¢26
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoSell1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoSell1¢20
1 mo. agoSell99¢80
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy99¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢4
1 mo. agoBuy1¢4
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢50
1 mo. agoBuy1¢50
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoSell1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoSell1¢76
1 mo. agoBuy1¢76
1 mo. agoSell1¢4
1 mo. agoBuy1¢4
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy93¢963
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢40
1 mo. agoBuy6¢50
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Resolution source:
https://www.ncaa.com
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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