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Updated 1 mo. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

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8 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +1.0%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 8¢No 92¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$58.8K

24h vol.

$2.8K

1w vol.

$6.9K

1m vol.

$54K

Liquidity

$48.9K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 9¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$10
9¢$160
8¢$300
7¢$752
6¢$654
5¢$910
4¢$2,724
3¢$4,513
2¢$8,179
1¢$10,161
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$100
13¢$187
14¢$64
16¢$637
17¢$150
19¢$244
20¢$500
23¢$174
24¢$88
27¢$141

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy89¢58
1 mo. agoBuy11¢58
1 mo. agoBuy89¢1
1 mo. agoBuy11¢1
1 mo. agoSell11¢40
1 mo. agoBuy11¢40
1 mo. agoBuy13¢23
1 mo. agoBuy87¢23
1 mo. agoBuy88¢10
1 mo. agoBuy12¢10
1 mo. agoBuy89¢112
1 mo. agoBuy11¢112
1 mo. agoSell12¢37
1 mo. agoBuy12¢37
1 mo. agoBuy13¢37
1 mo. agoBuy87¢37
1 mo. agoBuy89¢22
1 mo. agoBuy11¢22
1 mo. agoBuy87¢8
1 mo. agoBuy13¢8
1 mo. agoBuy87¢11
1 mo. agoBuy13¢11
1 mo. agoBuy87¢6
1 mo. agoBuy13¢6
1 mo. agoBuy87¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy87¢1,148
1 mo. agoBuy12¢87
1 mo. agoBuy12¢500
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢34
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy14¢20
1 mo. agoBuy14¢56
1 mo. agoBuy14¢27
1 mo. agoBuy14¢214
1 mo. agoBuy14¢19
1 mo. agoBuy14¢150
1 mo. agoBuy86¢30
1 mo. agoBuy14¢30
1 mo. agoBuy86¢12
1 mo. agoBuy14¢12
1 mo. agoSell85¢155
1 mo. agoBuy85¢155
1 mo. agoBuy86¢100
1 mo. agoBuy14¢100

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.