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Updated 12 min. ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▲ +0.2%24h▼ −2.3%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$2.1M

24h vol.

$37.1K

1w vol.

$163.5K

1m vol.

$463.2K

Liquidity

$120.6K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

May 13, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$70
2¢$1,065
2¢$2,000
2¢$300
2¢$979
2¢$204
1¢$10
1¢$1,698
1¢$18,103
1¢$6,224
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$373
3¢$2,582
3¢$6,655
3¢$2,100
3¢$1,226
3¢$1,050
3¢$306
3¢$1,000
3¢$414
4¢$10,100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
21 min. agoBuy2¢5,623
21 min. agoBuy98¢1,627
21 min. agoBuy98¢2,000
21 min. agoBuy98¢5
21 min. agoBuy98¢5
21 min. agoBuy98¢5
21 min. agoBuy98¢5
21 min. agoSell2¢1,907
21 min. agoBuy98¢50
21 min. agoSell2¢19
1 hr. agoSell98¢6
1 hr. agoSell2¢1
1 hr. agoBuy98¢5
3 hr. agoBuy2¢16,555
3 hr. agoSell2¢563
3 hr. agoBuy98¢5
3 hr. agoSell2¢5
3 hr. agoBuy98¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy98¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy98¢769
3 hr. agoBuy98¢3,959
3 hr. agoBuy98¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy98¢125
3 hr. agoSell2¢200
3 hr. agoBuy98¢4,930
3 hr. agoBuy2¢125
3 hr. agoSell2¢125
3 hr. agoSell98¢17
3 hr. agoBuy98¢17
4 hr. agoBuy98¢53
4 hr. agoSell98¢53
4 hr. agoBuy98¢20
4 hr. agoBuy2¢0
4 hr. agoBuy2¢20
5 hr. agoSell98¢98
5 hr. agoSell3¢98
5 hr. agoSell2¢2,184
5 hr. agoBuy2¢900
5 hr. agoBuy2¢167
5 hr. agoBuy3¢223
5 hr. agoBuy3¢76
5 hr. agoBuy3¢332
5 hr. agoBuy3¢324
5 hr. agoBuy3¢162
5 hr. agoBuy98¢917
5 hr. agoBuy2¢462
5 hr. agoBuy2¢150
5 hr. agoBuy2¢100
5 hr. agoSell98¢100
5 hr. agoBuy2¢100

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