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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
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15 %

chance

▼ −1.6%24h▼ −2.8%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$15.5M

24h vol.

$13.5K

1w vol.

$44.1K

1m vol.

$306.7K

Liquidity

$355.5K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 15¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$2,449
17¢$16,239
17¢$3,800
16¢$5,200
16¢$275
16¢$10,350
16¢$520
16¢$10,170
15¢$6,372
15¢$326
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$1,822
17¢$241
17¢$201
17¢$20
17¢$20
17¢$898
18¢$1,258
18¢$1,368
18¢$1,550
18¢$4,285

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell83¢15
2 wk. agoBuy83¢15
2 wk. agoBuy17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy83¢6
2 wk. agoBuy17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy83¢6
2 wk. agoSell17¢55
2 wk. agoBuy17¢55
2 wk. agoSell83¢19
2 wk. agoBuy83¢9
2 wk. agoSell17¢10
2 wk. agoSell17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy17¢6
2 wk. agoBuy83¢6
2 wk. agoSell17¢50
2 wk. agoBuy17¢50
2 wk. agoSell83¢66
2 wk. agoSell18¢22
2 wk. agoSell18¢19
2 wk. agoSell17¢24
2 wk. agoSell17¢50
2 wk. agoBuy17¢50
2 wk. agoSell18¢2,815
2 wk. agoBuy18¢139
2 wk. agoBuy18¢50
2 wk. agoBuy18¢60
2 wk. agoSell82¢109
2 wk. agoBuy18¢364
2 wk. agoBuy18¢335
2 wk. agoBuy18¢363
2 wk. agoBuy18¢335
2 wk. agoBuy18¢341
2 wk. agoBuy18¢321
2 wk. agoBuy18¢381
2 wk. agoSell82¢16
2 wk. agoBuy83¢139
2 wk. agoBuy17¢24
2 wk. agoBuy17¢22
2 wk. agoBuy18¢10
2 wk. agoSell82¢83
2 wk. agoSell82¢66
2 wk. agoBuy82¢66
2 wk. agoSell82¢66
2 wk. agoBuy82¢66
2 wk. agoSell82¢95
2 wk. agoBuy82¢66
2 wk. agoBuy82¢29
2 wk. agoSell82¢95
2 wk. agoBuy82¢95

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.