Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 2 days ago

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

7 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +0.8%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Total volume

$14.1M

24h vol.

$3.4K

1w vol.

$222.4K

1m vol.

$722K

Liquidity

$415.2K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 7¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$599
7¢$1,149
7¢$1,200
7¢$1,140
7¢$382
6¢$80
6¢$1,300
6¢$1,051
6¢$2,464
6¢$2,839
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$145,170
7¢$587
7¢$100
8¢$2,606
8¢$3,698
8¢$3,550
8¢$625
8¢$1,596
9¢$2,899
9¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy7¢6,958
2 days agoSell7¢5,950
2 days agoSell7¢100
2 days agoSell7¢7
2 days agoBuy93¢114
2 days agoBuy93¢246
2 days agoBuy93¢250
2 days agoBuy93¢214
2 days agoSell7¢76
2 days agoBuy7¢30
2 days agoSell7¢24
2 days agoSell7¢6
2 days agoSell7¢79
2 days agoSell93¢79
2 days agoBuy93¢1
2 days agoSell93¢1
2 days agoSell93¢70
2 days agoSell7¢70
2 days agoBuy93¢70
2 days agoSell93¢20
2 days agoBuy7¢50
2 days agoSell7¢2,583
2 days agoBuy7¢320
2 days agoBuy7¢916
2 days agoBuy7¢200
2 days agoSell93¢10
2 days agoBuy7¢52
2 days agoSell93¢97
2 days agoBuy7¢144
2 days agoBuy7¢183
2 days agoBuy7¢238
2 days agoBuy7¢257
2 days agoBuy7¢50
2 days agoBuy7¢116
2 days agoBuy93¢208
2 days agoSell93¢28
2 days agoBuy7¢180
2 days agoSell93¢7
2 days agoSell7¢7
3 days agoSell93¢3
3 days agoSell7¢3
3 days agoSell7¢779
3 days agoBuy7¢181
3 days agoBuy7¢246
3 days agoBuy7¢245
3 days agoSell93¢107
3 days agoBuy93¢7
3 days agoBuy7¢7
3 days agoSell93¢5
3 days agoSell7¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.