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Updated 28 min. ago

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +0.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$34.4M

24h vol.

$150.1K

1w vol.

$529.8K

1m vol.

$2.1M

Liquidity

$275K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$912
2¢$3,318
2¢$7,365
2¢$3,851
2¢$1,440
2¢$14,597
1¢$20,000
1¢$11,217
1¢$5,818
1¢$2,000
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$51,186
2¢$11,770
2¢$8
2¢$7
3¢$250
3¢$1,500
3¢$5,000
3¢$80,000
4¢$1,000
4¢$10,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
47 min. agoSell98¢5
47 min. agoBuy98¢5
52 min. agoBuy98¢2
52 min. agoSell98¢2
53 min. agoBuy98¢2
53 min. agoSell98¢2
1 hr. agoSell98¢1
1 hr. agoBuy98¢1
1 hr. agoBuy98¢1
1 hr. agoSell98¢1
1 hr. agoSell98¢1
1 hr. agoBuy98¢1
1 hr. agoBuy98¢1
1 hr. agoSell98¢1
2 hr. agoSell98¢3
2 hr. agoBuy98¢3
2 hr. agoBuy98¢2
2 hr. agoSell98¢2
2 hr. agoSell98¢1
2 hr. agoBuy98¢1
2 hr. agoBuy98¢1
2 hr. agoSell98¢1
2 hr. agoSell98¢2
2 hr. agoSell2¢2
2 hr. agoBuy98¢1
2 hr. agoSell98¢43
2 hr. agoBuy98¢43
2 hr. agoBuy98¢2
2 hr. agoSell98¢2
2 hr. agoBuy98¢43
2 hr. agoSell98¢43
4 hr. agoSell98¢0
4 hr. agoBuy98¢0
4 hr. agoSell98¢0
4 hr. agoBuy98¢0
4 hr. agoSell98¢0
4 hr. agoBuy98¢0
4 hr. agoBuy98¢2
4 hr. agoSell98¢2
5 hr. agoBuy2¢952
5 hr. agoBuy98¢952
6 hr. agoSell98¢0
6 hr. agoBuy98¢0
6 hr. agoSell98¢3
6 hr. agoBuy98¢3
7 hr. agoBuy98¢1
7 hr. agoSell98¢1
7 hr. agoSell98¢0
7 hr. agoSell2¢0
7 hr. agoSell98¢0

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